# \[PtR\] 圣安东尼奥马刺队已成夺冠大热门 **URL:** https://chinaspurs.com/t/topic/45233 **Category:** 环球刺讯 **Tags:** 2025-26赛季, 维克托-文班亚马 **Created:** [2026 年3 月 16 日 01:00 UTC](https://chinaspurs.com/t/topic/45233 "2026-03-16T01:00:12Z") **Posts on this page:** 3 **Page:** 1
### 作者： ![PtR](https://chinaspurs.com/user_avatar/chinaspurs.com/ptr/32/98_2.png) [@PtR](https://chinaspurs.com/u/PtR) #### 发布日期： [2026 年3 月 16 日 01:00 UTC](https://chinaspurs.com/t/topic/45233/1 "2026-03-16T01:00:12Z")
By Jacob Douglas | Pounding The Rock (PtR), 2026-03-16 00:37:52 ![](https://platform.poundingtherock.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/126/2026/03/gettyimages-2266044382.jpg?quality=90&strip=all&crop=0,0,100,100) 在常规赛还剩 15 场的情况下，圣安东尼奥马刺队距离 50 胜仅差一场。这是球队自 2016-2017 赛季以来首次达到这一里程碑。凭借全联盟第二好的战绩，马刺队已从一支敢打敢拼的年轻队伍，华丽蜕变为真正的 NBA 总冠军竞争者。根据 SB Nation 读者的调查，马刺队被视为最有望在 6 月举起拉里·奥布莱恩杯的球队。 ![](https://platform.poundingtherock.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/126/2026/03/National_2_030426.png?quality=90&strip=all&crop=0,0,100,100) 马刺队的得票率比联盟领头羊俄克拉荷马城雷霆队 (Oklahoma City Thunder) 高出 4%，而马刺本赛季曾四度击败对手。其他候选球队以及波士顿凯尔特人队 (Boston Celtics) 则构成了争冠第一梯队。 这种情绪很大程度上源于马刺队近期的表现——他们在过去 20 场比赛中取得了 17 胜 3 负的佳绩。这段时期的关键词是窒息般的防守、进攻效率的提升，以及维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) MVP 级别的表现。在此期间，马刺展现出了极强的身体对抗能力和多元化的赢球手段。他们拥有一名联盟前十的顶级球星，以及一批出色的角色球员。 他们所欠缺的是经验。像雷霆、丹佛掘金队 (Denver Nuggets) 和明尼苏达森林狼队 (Minnesota Timberwolves) 都拥有丰富的季后赛经验，有些赢得过总冠军，有些打进过分区决赛。马刺队无疑拥有与这些球队抗衡的天赋，但问题在于，他们能否在缺乏相关经验的情况下问鼎。其他球队曾做到过这一点，比如雷霆。 如果能以强势表现结束 2025/26 赛季，将进一步巩固他们作为夺冠大热门的地位。球队剩余赛程的难度在全联盟排在倒数第三，很有机会冲击 60 胜。如果说他们现在已被看好，那么以 60 胜收官将使他们成为一个更加真实且致命的威胁。 你认为马刺队是_头号_夺冠热门吗？还是说会有其他球队在季后赛将他们淘汰？你可以在此链接查看完整的夺冠赔率：[https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/nba](https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/nba) _由生成式 AI 翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。_ > **点击查看原文：The San Antonio Spurs are title favorites** > > # The San Antonio Spurs are title favorites > > ![](https://platform.poundingtherock.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/126/2026/03/gettyimages-2266044382.jpg?quality=90&strip=all&crop=0,0,100,100) > > The San Antonio Spurs are one win shy of 50 wins with 15 games left. It’s the first time the team will reach that mark since the 2016-2017 season. With the league’s second-best record, the Spurs have elevated from plucky young squad to a true NBA title contender. According to a survey of SB Nation readers, the Spurs are the favorites to hoist the Larry O’Brien trophy in June. > > ![](https://platform.poundingtherock.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/126/2026/03/National_2_030426.png?quality=90&strip=all&crop=0,0,100,100) > > The Spurs finished 4% higher than the league’s best Oklahoma City Thunder, a team they defeated four times this season. The field and Boston Celtics round out the group of teams considered to be title favorites. > > The sentiment is likely driven by the Spurs’ recent stretch in which the team has gone 17-3 over 20 games. That stretch has been defined by shut-down defense, an increase in offensive efficiency, and MVP-level play by Victor Wembanyama. During that time, the Spurs have looked like a team that can win games physically and in a variety of ways. They have a top-10 player and a good supporting cast. > > What they lack is experience. Teams like the Thunder, Denver Nuggets, and Minnesota Timberwolves have playoff experience, winning titles and reaching conference finals. The Spurs undoubtedly have the talent to compete with those teams, but the question is whether they can win without being there before. Other teams have done it, like the Thunder. > > An emphatic end to the 2025/26 season could cement their status as a title favorite even further. The team has the third-easiest remaining schedule and a real chance to win 60 games. If they are considered a favorite now, ending the season with 60 wins makes them an even more real threat. > > Do you think the Spurs are _the_ title favorite? Or will another team take them out come playoff time? You can see the complete title odds at this link: [https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/nba](https://sportsbook.fanduel.com/navigation/nba) By Jacob Douglas, via [Pounding The Rock](https://www.poundingtherock.com/general/97312/the-san-antonio-spurs-are-title-favorites) ---
### 作者： ![PtR](https://chinaspurs.com/user_avatar/chinaspurs.com/ptr/32/98_2.png) [@PtR](https://chinaspurs.com/u/PtR) #### 发布日期： [2026 年3 月 16 日 08:20 UTC](https://chinaspurs.com/t/topic/45233/2 "2026-03-16T08:20:05Z")
# 热评： > [@qobj](#): > > [https://x.com/statdefender/status/2033257896574963821?s=20](https://x.com/statdefender/status/2033257896574963821?s=20) > > > 2025-26赛季NBA常规赛最佳长两分命中率（总计至少出手100次长两分）： > > > > 1. 德文·瓦塞尔 (Devin Vassell) — 54.5% > > 2. 谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大 (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander) — 53.7% > > 3. 杰伦·布伦森 (Jalen Brunson) — 51.0% > > 4. 凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant) — 50.0% > > 5. 乔尔·恩比德 (Joel Embiid) — 48.8% > > 6. Luka… [https://t.co/8aAgdvyav2](https://t.co/8aAgdvyav2) [pic.twitter.com/6PaU5XGXBB](https://t.co/6PaU5XGXBB) > > > > — Stat Defender (@ statdefender) [2026年3月15日](https://twitter.com/statdefender/status/2033257896574963821?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw) > > > > https://v.chinaspurs.com/v?url=https%3A%2F%2Fx.com%2Fstatdefender%2Fstatus%2F2033257896574963821%3Fref_src%3Dtwsrc%255Etfw&key=0b352eb4 > > > [@qobj](#): > > > > 当防守方切断所有轻松得分的机会时，这种“联盟中最差的投篮”在季后赛中就显得价值连城了。 > [@syllabear](#): > > 我依然坚持我的预测：圣安东尼奥马刺队将以一波17场胜利夺得队史第6冠，震惊所有人。 > [@MElizondo](#): > > 看到马刺位居榜首我挺意外的。虽然我非常渴望夺冠，也同样非常渴望俄克拉荷马城雷霆队 **不要** 夺冠，但我依然认为雷霆才是头号热门。在经历了一段短暂的低迷后，他们已经开始找回状态了（而且还是在缺少杰伦·威廉姆斯 (Jalen Williams) 的情况下 😱）。 > > 我觉得雷霆正迅速变得不那么讨喜，而马刺现在却非常招人喜欢。 > [@2yrTimeline](#): > > 历史经验表明，绝大多数总冠军（约80%）都是由常规赛结束时攻防效率差值排名前四的球队夺得。因此，下表左列加粗的5支球队中，约有80%的概率会有一支在2025-2026赛季结束后捧起拉里·奥布莱恩杯 (Larry O’Brien Trophy)。这也预示着卫冕冠军雷霆将与崛起的新贵马刺在西部决赛狭路相逢。 > > 基于此： > > **攻防效率差值领先者（剩余约15场比赛）** > > **全联盟** … **西部** … **东部** > **OKC（雷霆）** \> 10.9 … 雷霆 \> 10.9 … DET（活塞） \> 6.9 > > **SAS（马刺）** \> 7.0 … 马刺 \> 7.0 … BOS（凯尔特人） \> 6.5 > > **DET（活塞）** \> 6.9 … MIN（森林狼） \> 4.5 … NYK（尼克斯） \> 6.4 > > **BOS（凯尔特人）** \> 6.5 … HOU（火箭） \> 4.5 … CLE（骑士） \> 4.8 > > **NYK（尼克斯）** \> 6.4 … DEN（掘金） \> 3.7 … MIA（热火） \> 3.8 > > CLE（骑士） \> 4.8 … LAL（湖人） \> 1.7 … TOR（猛龙） \> 1.8 > > MIN（森林狼） \> 4.5 … LAC（快船） \> 1.5 … ORL（魔术） \> 1.3 > > HOU（火箭） \> 4.5 … PHO（太阳） \> 1.1 … CHA（黄蜂） \> 1.3 > > MIA（热火） \> 3.8 … GSW（勇士） \> 0.6 … ATL（老鹰） \> 0.7 > > DEN（掘金） \> 3.7 … POR（开拓者） - 3.0 … PHI（76人） - 0.3 > > TOR（猛龙） \> 1.8 > > FAKERS（湖人） \> 1.7 > > LAC（快船） \> 1.5 > > ORL（魔术） \> 1.3 > > CHA（黄蜂） \> 1.3 > [@qobj](#): > > [https://x.com/statdefender/status/2031760596337872978?s=20](https://x.com/statdefender/status/2031760596337872978?s=20) > > > 2025-26赛季NBA常规赛全明星赛后最佳三分命中率（总计至少出手50次三分）： > > > > 1. 杰林·威廉姆斯 (Jaylin Williams) — 50.0% > > 2. 瓦塞尔 — 49.3% > > 3. 朱利安·尚帕尼 (Julian Champagnie) — 48.4% > > 4. 康·克内佩尔 (Kon Knueppel) — 46.9% > > 5. 德斯蒙德·贝恩 (Desmond Bane) — 45.6% > > 6. 泰勒·希罗 (Tyler Herro) — 45.0% > > 7. 詹姆斯·哈登 (James Harden) —… [https://t.co/pK5hyBUzBi](https://t.co/pK5hyBUzBi) [pic.twitter.com/Li4lJVEAsT](https://t.co/Li4lJVEAsT) > > > > — Stat Defender (@ statdefender) [2026年3月11日](https://twitter.com/statdefender/status/2031760596337872978?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw) > > > > ![](https://files.seeusercontent.com/2026/03/17/g9Tb/260317-9853e067f53a84f1c5c254d17.jpg) > > > [@2yrTimeline](#): > > > > 不错，福克斯、哈珀，还有马刺球员都上榜了！ > > > > [https://x.com/statdefender/status/2032456832191807490](https://x.com/statdefender/status/2032456832191807490) > > > > > 2025-26赛季NBA常规赛全明星赛后最佳突破投篮命中率（总计至少出手40次）： > > > > > > 1. 德阿隆·福克斯 (De’Aaron Fox) — 69.6% > > > 2. 迪伦·哈珀 (Dylan Harper) — 69.0% > > > 3. 安东尼·爱德华兹 (Anthony Edwards) — 62.7% > > > 4. 杜兰特 — 62.1% > > > 5. 阿尔佩伦·申京 (Alperen Sengun) — 62.0% > > > 6. 贝恩 — 60.7% > > > 7. Shai… [https://t.co/xUOnLo88oy](https://t.co/xUOnLo88oy) [pic.twitter.com/GC7CAejA5D](https://t.co/GC7CAejA5D) > > > > > > — Stat Defender (@ statdefender) [2026年3月13日](https://twitter.com/statdefender/status/2032456832191807490?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw) > > > > > > https://v.chinaspurs.com/v?url=https%3A%2F%2Fx.com%2Fstatdefender%2Fstatus%2F2032456832191807490%3Fref_src%3Dtwsrc%255Etfw&key=82a29f5c > [@spiceymeatball](#): > > 大多数球迷（73%）并不认为马刺能带走总冠军奖杯。 _由生成式 AI 翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。_ > **点击查看原文：** > > # > > > [@qobj](#): > > > > [https://x.com/statdefender/status/2033257896574963821?s=20](https://x.com/statdefender/status/2033257896574963821?s=20) > > > > > Best Long Mid-Range FG% In The 2025-26 NBA Regular Season (Min. 100 Total LMR FGA) : > > > > > > 1. Devin Vassell — 54.5% > > > 2. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander — 53.7% > > > 3. Jalen Brunson — 51.0% > > > 4. Kevin Durant — 50.0% > > > 5. Joel Embiid — 48.8% > > > 6. Luka… [https://t.co/8aAgdvyav2](https://t.co/8aAgdvyav2) [pic.twitter.com/6PaU5XGXBB](https://t.co/6PaU5XGXBB) > > > > > > — Stat Defender (@ statdefender) [March 15, 2026](https://twitter.com/statdefender/status/2033257896574963821?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw) > > > > > > https://v.chinaspurs.com/v?url=https%3A%2F%2Fx.com%2Fstatdefender%2Fstatus%2F2033257896574963821%3Fref_src%3Dtwsrc%255Etfw&key=0b352eb4 > > > > > [@qobj](#): > > > > > > The worst shot in the league is increíble valuable in the playoffs when defenses take away any easy shot. > > > [@syllabear](#): > > > > I still standby my prediction that the Spurs will shock everybody by winning 17 games on their way to the 6th title. > > > [@MElizondo](#): > > > > I am surprised to see the Spurs come out on top. As much as I want to win it all, and as much as I want the Thunder to NOT, I still think they are the favorite. After their brief skid of games, they have really started to round into form again (without J Dub 😱). > > > > I feel like OKC is quickly becoming a less likeable team. And the Spurs are super likeable right now. > > > [@2yrTimeline](#): > > > > History suggests that the vast majority of NBA titles (~ 80%) are won by teams with a _top-four_ off/def efficiency differential at the end of the regular season. Thus, there’s about an 80% chance that one of the 5 teams in bold in the left column below will walk away with the Larry O’Brien Trophy at the conclusion of the 2025-2026 NBA season. This also suggests that the defending champion Oklahoma City Thunder will square of against the upstart San Antonio Spurs in the Western Conference Finals. > > > > With that in mind: > > > > **OFF/DEF Efficiency Differential Leaders (~ 15 games to go)** > > > > **NBA** … **WEST** … **EAST** > > **OKC** \> 10.9 … OKC \> 10.9 … DET \> 6.9 > > > > **SAS** \> 7.0 … SAS \> 7.0 … BOS \> 6.5 > > > > **DET** \> 6.9 … MIN \> 4.5 … NYK \> 6.4 > > > > **BOS** \> 6.5 … HOU \> 4.5 … CLE \> 4.8 > > > > **NYK** \> 6.4 … DEN \> 3.7 … MIA \> 3.8 > > > > CLE \> 4.8 … LAL \> 1.7 … TOR \> 1.8 > > > > MIN \> 4.5 … LAC \> 1.5 … ORL \> 1.3 > > > > HOU \> 4.5 … PHO \> 1.1 … CHA \> 1.3 > > > > MIA \> 3.8 … GSW \> 0.6 … ATL \> 0.7 > > > > DEN \> 3.7 … POR - 3.0 … PHI - 0.3 > > > > TOR \> 1.8 > > > > FAKERS \> 1.7 > > > > LAC \> 1.5 > > > > ORL \> 1.3 > > > > CHA \> 1.3 > > > [@qobj](#): > > > > [https://x.com/statdefender/status/2031760596337872978?s=20](https://x.com/statdefender/status/2031760596337872978?s=20) > > > > > Best 3PT% Post All-Star Break In The 2025-26 NBA Regular Season (Min. 50 Total 3PA) : > > > > > > 1. Jaylin Williams — 50.0% > > > 2. Devin Vassell — 49.3% > > > 3. Julian Champagnie — 48.4% > > > 4. Kon Knueppel — 46.9% > > > 5. Desmond Bane — 45.6% > > > 6. Tyler Herro — 45.0% > > > 7. James Harden —… [https://t.co/pK5hyBUzBi](https://t.co/pK5hyBUzBi) [pic.twitter.com/Li4lJVEAsT](https://t.co/Li4lJVEAsT) > > > > > > — Stat Defender (@ statdefender) [March 11, 2026](https://twitter.com/statdefender/status/2031760596337872978?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw) > > > > > > ![](https://files.seeusercontent.com/2026/03/17/g9Tb/260317-9853e067f53a84f1c5c254d17.jpg) > > > > > [@2yrTimeline](#): > > > > > > Nice, Fox, Harper, and Spurs! > > > > > > [https://x.com/statdefender/status/2032456832191807490](https://x.com/statdefender/status/2032456832191807490) > > > > > > > Best FG% On Drives Post All-Star Break In The 2025-26 NBA Regular Season (Min. 40 Total FGA) : > > > > > > > > 1. De’Aaron Fox — 69.6% > > > > 2. Dylan Harper — 69.0% > > > > 3. Anthony Edwards — 62.7% > > > > 4. Kevin Durant — 62.1% > > > > 5. Alperen Sengun — 62.0% > > > > 6. Desmond Bane — 60.7% > > > > 7. Shai… [https://t.co/xUOnLo88oy](https://t.co/xUOnLo88oy) [pic.twitter.com/GC7CAejA5D](https://t.co/GC7CAejA5D) > > > > > > > > — Stat Defender (@ statdefender) [March 13, 2026](https://twitter.com/statdefender/status/2032456832191807490?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw) > > > > > > > > https://v.chinaspurs.com/v?url=https%3A%2F%2Fx.com%2Fstatdefender%2Fstatus%2F2032456832191807490%3Fref_src%3Dtwsrc%255Etfw&key=82a29f5c > > > [@spiceymeatball](#): > > > > The majority of fans (73%) don’t see the Spurs taking the.Trophy. via [Pounding The Rock](https://www.poundingtherock.com/general/97312/the-san-antonio-spurs-are-title-favorites#comments) ---
### 作者： ![不再一样](https://avatars.discourse.org/v4/letter/%E4%B8%8D/6f9a4e/32.png) [@不再一样](https://chinaspurs.com/u/%E4%B8%8D%E5%86%8D%E4%B8%80%E6%A0%B7) #### 发布日期： [2026 年3 月 16 日 10:03 UTC](https://chinaspurs.com/t/topic/45233/3 "2026-03-16T10:03:33Z")
慎奶慎奶。 虽然我很欣喜马刺这赛季的大幅进步（或者说是磨合后的飞跃），但是我不认为马刺已经预备好克服夺冠所需要的所有磨炼。如果今年马刺能够打到次轮，我觉得算是正常发挥了实力，如果能打到西决，我觉得这个赛季就是成功的了。