# \[ESPN\] 从联盟垫底到总冠军：每支球队都值得关注的一项投注预测

**URL:** https://chinaspurs.com/t/topic/43245
**Category:** 环球刺讯
**Tags:** 2025-26赛季, 维克托-文班亚马
**Created:** [2025 年10 月 17 日 12:30 UTC](https://chinaspurs.com/t/topic/43245 "2025-10-17T12:30:07Z")
**Posts on this page:** 1
**Page:** 1

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### 作者： ![ESPN](https://chinaspurs.com/user_avatar/chinaspurs.com/espn/32/97_2.png) [@ESPN](https://chinaspurs.com/u/ESPN)
#### 发布日期： [2025 年10 月 17 日 12:30 UTC](https://chinaspurs.com/t/topic/43245/1 "2025-10-17T12:30:07Z")

</div>

By André Snellings, Eric Moody | ESPN, 2025-10-17 19:30:00

_由生成式 AI 翻译，译文内容可能不准确或不完整，以原文为准。_

![Image](https://a4.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=%2Fphoto%2F2025%2F1016%2Fr1561144_1296x729_16%2D9.jpg)

2025-26 NBA赛季将于10月21日（周二）拉开帷幕，揭幕战将由俄克拉荷马城雷霆队主场迎战现已拥有凯文·杜兰特 (Kevin Durant) 的休斯顿火箭队，届时雷霆队将升起他们的NBA总冠军旗帜。

纽约尼克斯队和克利夫兰骑士队正觊觎东部冠军的宝座，而波士顿凯尔特人队和印第安纳步行者队则因核心球星受伤，急需其他球员站出来填补空缺。库珀·弗拉格 (Cooper Flagg) 期望在他的新秀赛季中与达拉斯独行侠队一鸣惊人，而像多伦多猛龙队和萨克拉门托国王队这样的球队则希望能够更进一步。

每支球队都有其投注看点——从球员个人数据到球队未来成绩预测——我们在此为您梳理NBA全部30支球队的最佳未来盘口投注选择。

_安德烈·斯内林斯 (André Snellings) 负责东部联盟的预测，埃里克·穆迪 (Eric Moody) 则负责西部联盟。_ _赔率截至发稿时。最新赔率请访问 ESPN BET。_

* * *

快速跳转  
东部联盟： 老鹰 | 篮网 | 凯尔特人 | 黄蜂 | 公牛 |  
骑士 | 活塞 | 步行者 | 热火 | 雄鹿 |  
尼克斯 | 魔术 | 76人 | 猛龙 | 奇才  
西部联盟： 独行侠 | 掘金 | 勇士 | 火箭 | 快船 |  
湖人 | 灰熊 | 森林狼 | 鹈鹕 | 雷霆 |  
太阳 | 开拓者 | 国王 | 马刺 | 爵士

* * *

## 东部联盟

### 亚特兰大老鹰

特雷·杨 (Trae Young) 场均助攻12次以上 (+225)， 特雷·杨 (Trae Young) 成为赛季助攻王 (-130)

在上赛季的预测中，我曾指出特雷·杨的职业生涯轨迹表明他将突破场均11次助攻并领跑全联盟。果不其然，他以场均11.6次助攻荣膺助攻王。新赛季将是同样的剧本。进入个人第八个NBA赛季，杨的场均助攻数在他职业生涯的每个赛季都在增长，从新秀赛季的场均8.1次一路攀升至刚刚结束的第七个赛季的场均11.6次。此外，本赛季老鹰队为他配备了众多终结者，包括一位新的挡拆/挡拆外切搭档——克里斯塔普斯·波尔津吉斯 (Kristaps Porzingis)。

### 波士顿凯尔特人

杰伦·布朗 (Jaylen Brown) 场均得分28分以上 (+225)

由于杰森·塔图姆 (Jayson Tatum) 受伤缺阵，本赛季杰伦·布朗将成为波士顿的头号得分选择。在过去两个赛季中，当布朗在没有塔图姆的情况下出场时，他的场均得分从22.2分飙升至26.8分。预计布朗本赛季将接管塔图姆场均20.3次出手权中的一大部分，并且在球队以他为核心的战术体系下，这些出手机会应该会来自更有利的位置。即便在与塔图姆并肩作战时，布朗也曾单赛季场均得到26.6分（2023-24赛季），他很有机会在本赛季创造新的生涯纪录。考虑到赔率为正数，布朗场均得分超过28分极具价值。

### 布鲁克林篮网

常规赛战绩联盟垫底 (+180)

根据BPI（篮球实力指数）的预测，篮网队本赛季将与另外两支球队几乎并列，成为联盟战绩最差的球队之一。篮网队和犹他爵士队（战绩垫底赔率+165）的BPI均为-6.9，并列联盟第二低，仅稍高于华盛顿奇才队的-7.4。篮网在今年的选秀大会首轮选中了五名新秀，并计划将他们纳入轮换阵容。如此大规模地使用年轻球员，更像是着眼于未来的建队策略，而非追求当下的成功。在赔率为正数的情况下，投注他们成为联盟战绩最差的球队具有一定价值。

### 夏洛特黄蜂

胜场数超过26.5场 (-120)

黄蜂队上赛季仅取得19场胜利，前一个赛季也只有23胜，但这些挣扎与他们外线球员的伤病缺席密切相关。上赛季，当拉梅洛·鲍尔 (LaMelo Ball) 在阵时，黄蜂队的战绩为16胜31负，胜率相当于一个赛季28胜的水平，但当他缺阵时，球队战绩仅为3胜32负。鲍尔已连续三个赛季受到伤病困扰，但今年休赛期，黄蜂队似乎为此做好了准备，引进了数名高质量的后卫。随着外线深度的增加，加上像鲍尔和布兰登·米勒 (Brandon Miller) 这样的年轻球星的成长，黄蜂队预计将取得更多成功。根据BPI预测，他们本赛季的胜场数将达到29.6场。

### 芝加哥公牛

约什·吉迪 (Josh Giddey) 场均助攻8次以上 (+115)，吉迪 (Giddey) 赢得最快进步球员（18-1）

公牛队上赛季交易走了扎克·拉文 (Zach LaVine)，将球队的指挥权交给了约什·吉迪和科比·怀特 (Coby White)。在拉文被交易后，吉迪在赛季最后19场比赛中场均贡献21.2分、9.3次助攻和10.7个篮板。随着进攻体系围绕他展开，吉迪很有机会在本赛季实现场均8次以上的助攻。如果他的数据能接近上赛季最后四分之一赛程的表现，他也将成为最快进步球员奖项的有力竞争者。

### 克利夫兰骑士

成为东部联盟头号种子 (+115)

骑士队上赛季豪取64胜，场均净胜分高达+9.5分，最终以东部头号种子的身份结束常规赛，领先波士顿凯尔特人队3个胜场，领先纽约尼克斯队13个胜场。骑士队本赛季保留了所有核心球员和教练团队，而凯尔特人队将失去杰森·塔图姆，尼克斯队则更换了主教练。尽管骑士队将在赛季第一个月左右缺少达柳斯·加兰 (Darius Garland)，但他们仍有足够的天赋来复制上赛季的辉煌。根据BPI预测，骑士队将轻松成为东部胜场最多的球队，预计胜场数将比第二名（尼克斯队）多出超过4场。

### 底特律活塞

凯德·坎宁安 (Cade Cunningham) 场均得分28分以上 (+185)

坎宁安职业生涯每个赛季的场均得分都在显著提升，从新秀赛季的17.4分增长到第四个赛季的26.1分。坎宁安年仅24岁，而活塞队的建队思路就是让他成为毫无疑问的核心组织者。他拥有高使用率，每次进攻球都会在他手中，并且他作为内线终结者和三分射手的能力仍在持续进步。上赛季最后40场比赛，坎宁安场均得到28.1分，这让此项投注在正赔率下具有很高的价值。

### 印第安纳步行者

安德鲁·内姆哈德 (Andrew Nembhard) (12-1) 或 本尼迪克特·马图林 (Bennedict Mathurin) (16-1) 赢得最快进步球员

随着泰瑞斯·哈利伯顿 (Tyrese Haliburton) 因跟腱伤势缺阵、迈尔斯·特纳 (Myles Turner) 被交易，加上 T.J. 麦康奈尔 (T.J. McConnell) 也面临伤病问题，步行者队将依赖内姆哈德和马图林来承担外线绝大部分的进攻创造任务。两人都有望在数据上实现职业生涯的巨大飞跃，内姆哈德可能成为得分和助攻的重要来源，而马图林则有潜力成为一名极具统治力的得分手。对于一个每个赛季都充满变数的最快进步球员奖项而言，这正是竞逐该奖项的绝佳条件。

### 迈阿密热火

热火队参加附加赛 (-110)

热火队已连续三个赛季参加附加赛，上赛季尽管经历了吉米·巴特勒 (Jimmy Butler) 的出战场次风波并最终将其在赛季中期交易至勇士，这一“传统”仍在继续。本赛季，热火队的阵容依然强大，足以在每场比赛中保持竞争力，但却不太可能成为冠军争夺者。根据BPI预测，热火队的战绩将与另外两支球队并列东部第九，预计将落后第六名超过五个胜场，同时领先第十二名也超过五个胜场。

### 密尔沃基雄鹿

扬尼斯·阿德托昆博 (Giannis Antetokounmpo) 场均助攻7次以上 (+110)

阿德托昆博上赛季场均送出职业生涯新高的6.5次助攻，但在他缺少达米安·利拉德 (Damian Lillard) 的13场比赛中，他的场均助攻数达到了7.9次。随着利拉德离队，扬尼斯的球权使用率应该会有所提升，或许会回到2022-23赛季——即利拉德到来前一个赛季——创下的职业生涯新高38.8%。考虑到雄鹿队目前的阵容配置，阿德托昆博将承担为自己和队友创造绝大部分进攻机会的任务。他很有可能连续第三个赛季刷新个人助攻纪录。

### 纽约尼克斯

进入东部决赛 (+130)

尼克斯队上赛季成功闯入东部决赛，他们在半决赛中淘汰了二号种子波士顿凯尔特人队，随后在决赛中负于印第安纳步行者队。但凯尔特人队和步行者队都在季后赛中失去了他们的核心球员（均遭遇跟腱撕裂），这大大降低了他们本赛季重返巅峰的可能性。尼克斯队在休赛期更换了教练，但保留了主要轮换阵容，目标是在本赛季取得更大进步。根据BPI预测，尼克斯队本赛季的胜场数将位列东部第二，并且他们进入分区决赛的赔率也高居第二。

### 奥兰多魔术

保罗·班凯罗 (Paolo Banchero) 场均得分26分以上 (+110)

班凯罗在他职业生涯的前三个赛季中，每个赛季的场均得分都在增加，从新秀赛季的20.0分提升到上赛季的25.9分。今年休赛期，魔术队引进了另一位高产得分手——德斯蒙德·贝恩 (Desmond Bane)，他是联盟中最出色的三分射手之一。虽然贝恩的出手需要占用一部分球权，但我认为班凯罗的得分产量实际上会增加，因为贝恩的投射能力将为对手的防线制造出魔术队近年来前所未有的空间。班凯罗喜欢在中距离和内线持球发动进攻，本赛季他应该会有更多空间来获得他想要的投篮机会。

### 费城76人

泰瑞斯·马克西 (Tyrese Maxey) 场均得分26分以上 (+150)

在过去两个赛季的总计122场比赛中，马克西场均得到26.1分。他一直保持着这样的得分水平，并且年仅24岁的他仍有巨大的提升空间。马克西是76人队首发阵容中的三位全明星之一，但乔尔·恩比德 (Joel Embiid) 和保罗·乔治 (Paul George) 都有严重的伤病史，导致他们在过去几个赛季中缺席了大量比赛。如果队友缺阵，马克西将承担更重的责任，而他的能力也足以在需要时支撑更高的使用率。

### 多伦多猛龙

参加附加赛 (赔率持平)

猛龙队是一支难以预测的球队，因为他们上赛季因伤病输掉了太多比赛。但他们阵中充满了经验丰富的年轻球员，每个人都在场上证明过自己的能力。如果所有球员能完美融合，他们可能成为东部联盟中最具天赋的年轻球队之一。根据BPI预测，猛龙队的战绩将与另外两支球队并列东部第九，预计将落后第六名超过五个胜场，同时领先第十二名5.5个胜场。

### 华盛顿奇才

常规赛战绩联盟垫底 (+375)

奇才是一支处于重建期的球队，计划在本赛季重点培养年轻球员，尽管他们目前阵中仍有 CJ·麦科勒姆 (CJ McCollum) 和克里斯·米德尔顿 (Khris Middleton) 这两位经验丰富的首发球员。本赛季的重点应该是发展年轻球员和建立职业化的球队文化，而非追求胜负。根据BPI预测，奇才队的评分为全联盟最低的-7.4，只有布鲁克林篮网队（-6.9）和犹他爵士队（-6.9）的评分低于-5.0。考虑到显著的正赔率，投注奇才队本赛季战绩垫底具有一定价值。

## 西部联盟

### 达拉斯独行侠

库珀·弗拉格 (Cooper Flagg) 场均得分超过16.5分 (-110)

弗拉格是一个可靠的投注选择，因为这位状元秀将在达拉斯扮演高使用率的角色，在凯里·欧文 (Kyrie Irving) 从前十字韧带撕裂中恢复期间，与安东尼·戴维斯 (Anthony Davis) 并肩作战。他全面的得分能力、身材优势和竞争心态使他从第一天起就成为球队的主要进攻选择。我们预测弗拉格在场均33.2分钟的出场时间里，以场均14.6次出手得到19.5分。

### 丹佛掘金

胜场数达到55场以上 (+105)

得益于阵容升级和深度加强，丹佛队已经为成功做好了准备。用小迈克尔·波特 (Michael Porter Jr.) 交易来神射手卡梅伦·约翰逊 (Cameron Johnson)（场均19.0分，投篮命中率47.5%，三分命中率39%），为尼古拉·约基奇 (Nikola Jokic) 改善了场上空间。引进布鲁斯·布朗 (Bruce Brown)、小蒂姆·哈达威 (Tim Hardaway Jr.) 和约纳斯·瓦兰丘纳斯 (Jonas Valanciunas) 则增强了替补席的得分能力和老将的坚韧。与此同时，年轻侧翼克里斯蒂安·布劳恩 (Christian Braun)、朱利安·斯特劳瑟 (Julian Strawther) 和杰伦·皮克特 (Jalen Pickett) 都展现了进步，这让掘金队拥有了一套足以冲击分区冠军的完整阵容。

### 金州勇士

常规赛胜场数超过46.5场 (-115)

勇士队保留了由斯蒂芬·库里 (Stephen Curry)、德雷蒙德·格林 (Draymond Green) 和赛季中期加盟的吉米·巴特勒三世 (Jimmy Butler III) 领导的久经考验的核心阵容。在巴特勒到来后，金州勇士队取得了28胜15负的战绩。随着老将们保持健康，以及艾尔·霍福德 (Al Horford)、塞思·库里 (Seth Curry) 和布兰丁·波杰姆斯基 (Brandin Podziemski) 等角色球员增加阵容深度，金州勇士队有望超越其预测的胜场总数。这是一支为争冠而建的球队，如果全员保持健康，不要忽视他们闯入西部决赛（+625）甚至NBA总决赛（16-1）的可能。

### 休斯顿火箭

胜场数低于53.5场 (-120)

火箭队因弗雷德·范弗利特 (Fred VanVleet) 遭遇前十字韧带撕裂而赛季报销，使得阿门·汤普森 (Amen Thompson)、里德·谢泼德 (Reed Sheppard)、阿隆·霍勒迪 (Aaron Holiday) 和约什·奥科吉 (Josh Okogie) 不得不撑起后场。即使引进了37岁的凯文·杜兰特，他的伤病史也限制了球队的稳定性——过去五个赛季他平均每季只出战49场比赛。再加上替补席得分能力有限，很难想象休斯顿能追平去年的52场胜利。预计他们更像是一支附加赛级别的球队，而非分区冠军的有力争夺者。

### 

### 洛杉矶快船

以西部联盟第5号种子结束常规赛 (+500)

快船队拥有星光熠熠的阵容，包括科怀·伦纳德 (Kawhi Leonard)、詹姆斯·哈登 (James Harden) 和伊维察·祖巴茨 (Ivica Zubac)，并由布拉德利·比尔 (Bradley Beal)、约翰·科林斯 (John Collins)、克里斯·保罗 (Chris Paul) 和布鲁克·洛佩斯 (Brook Lopez) 等老将提供支持。他们的进攻和防守都是精英级别，但年龄和过去的伤病史——尤其是伦纳德的——可能会影响球队的稳定性。如果核心阵容保持健康并磨合良好，快船队有足够的深度和天赋以西部第5号种子左右的排名结束常规赛，因为球队会优先考虑季后赛的健康状况，而非常规赛排名。

### 洛杉矶湖人

赢得NBA总冠军 (15-1)

湖人队拥有卢卡·东契奇 (Luka Doncic) 和勒布朗·詹姆斯 (LeBron James) 两位划时代的巨星，尽管东契奇是赛季中期才加盟，但他们联手后战绩为15胜8负。经过一个完整的休赛期来培养化学反应，加上德安德烈·艾顿 (Deandre Ayton) 和马库斯·斯马特 (Marcus Smart) 等新援增强防守，以及主教练 JJ·雷迪克 (JJ Redick) 进入执教第二年，有更多时间来打造他的战术体系，这支球队拥有足够的火力和领导力，可以向总冠军发起 серьезный 冲击。

### 孟菲斯灰熊

胜场数超过40.5场 (-115)

孟菲斯迎回了他们的核心组合——贾·莫兰特 (Ja Morant) 和小贾伦·杰克逊 (Jaren Jackson Jr.)，只要保持健康，他们就能提供精英级别的得分和组织能力。随着肯塔维厄斯·考德威尔-波普 (Kentavious Caldwell-Pope) 和泰·杰罗姆 (Ty Jerome) 等新援增强了阵容深度，以及杰伦·威尔斯 (Jaylen Wells) 和扎克·伊迪 (Zach Edey) 等潜力新星的成长，灰熊队已经为成功做好了准备。只要莫兰特能留在场上，他们有望超过40.5个胜场。

### 明尼苏达森林狼

胜场数超过49.5场 (-115)

森林狼队在过去两个赛季平均取得52.5场胜利，并且除了尼基尔·亚历山大-沃克 (Nickeil Alexander-Walker) 之外，保留了几乎所有核心成员。安东尼·爱德华兹 (Anthony Edwards)、朱利叶斯·兰德尔 (Julius Randle)、杰登·麦克丹尼尔斯 (Jaden McDaniels)、鲁迪·戈贝尔 (Rudy Gobert) 和丹特·迪文琴佐 (Donte DiVincenzo) 组成了一个强大的核心，如今又有利器神射手约翰尼·朱赞 (Johnny Juzang) 和身高6尺11寸的新秀琼·贝林格 (Joan Beringer) 加盟。凭借阵容的连续性、被证实的成长轨迹和增加的深度，取得50场以上的胜利是完全可以实现的。

### 新奥尔良鹈鹕

胜场数超过30.5场 (-110)

一个健康的锡安·威廉姆森 (Zion Williamson) 能彻底改变这支球队。现在再加上乔丹·普尔 (Jordan Poole) 的得分能力、特雷·墨菲三世 (Trey Murphy III) 在攻防两端的成长，以及德章泰·穆雷 (Dejounte Murray) 的伤愈复出。有了凯文·卢尼 (Kevon Looney) 这样的老将和防守中坚赫伯特·琼斯 (Herbert Jones)，鹈鹕队拥有足够的深度和天赋去竞争。如果锡安能保持健康，取得31场以上的胜利是轻而易举的。

### 俄克拉荷马城雷霆

NBA总冠军 (+200)

俄克拉荷马城几乎保留了全部的冠军阵容，由MVP谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大 (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander)、全明星球员杰伦·威廉姆斯 (Jalen Williams) 和防守中坚切特·霍姆格伦 (Chet Holmgren) 领衔。上赛季，他们凭借创纪录的场均净胜分和令人窒息的防守统治了联盟。年轻、阵容稳定，以及将防守转化为进攻的成熟能力，使雷霆队成为一支强大的力量，有望成为七年来首支卫冕总冠军的球队。

### 菲尼克斯太阳

胜场数超过31.5场 (-115)

太阳队的阵容重组为德文·布克 (Devin Booker) 打造了一个均衡的后场组合，与他搭档的是杰伦·格林 (Jalen Green) 和狄龙·布鲁克斯 (Dillon Brooks)，两人都是可靠的三分威胁（布鲁克斯上赛季场均出手6.3次三分，命中率高达39.7%）。新秀卡曼·马卢阿奇 (Khaman Maluach) 和马克·威廉姆斯 (Mark Williams) 增强了前场实力，而新教练乔丹·奥特 (Jordan Ott) 则带来了进攻端的创新。即使没有杜兰特或比尔，这支经过改造的太阳队也应该能轻松超过32个胜场。

### 波特兰开拓者

胜场数低于33.5场 (+110)

波特兰的休赛期更多的是潜力和噱头，而非经过验证的即战力。达米安·利拉德将因跟腱撕裂缺席整个赛季，朱·霍勒迪 (Jrue Holiday) 状态正在下滑，而年轻中锋杨瀚森 (Yang Hansen) 和多诺万·克林根 (Donovan Clingan) 需要时间成长。即使谢登·夏普 (Shaedon Sharpe)、斯库特·亨德森 (Scoot Henderson) 和德尼·阿夫迪亚 (Deni Avdija) 偶有闪光，球队仍然缺乏稳定性和深度，这使得又一个不理想的赛季很可能上演。

### 萨克拉门托国王

参加西部联盟附加赛 (+195)

扎克·拉文、德玛尔·德罗赞 (DeMar DeRozan) 和多曼塔斯·萨博尼斯 (Domantas Sabonis) 组成了一个得分爆发力强的老将核心，而丹尼斯·施罗德 (Dennis Schroder) 则为控卫位置增添了经验。像基根·穆雷 (Keegan Murray) 和尼克·克利福德 (Nique Clifford) 这样的年轻才俊则提供了上升空间。如果这个阵容在主教练道格·克里斯蒂 (Doug Christie) 的指导下能产生化学反应并保持健康，国王队有足够的火力挤进附加赛。

### 圣安东尼奥马刺

维克托·文班亚马 (Victor Wembanyama) 在每场常规赛中至少送出1次盖帽 (+130)

在因右肩深静脉血栓而提前结束第二个赛季后，文班亚马已获准参加本赛季的比赛。这位身高7英尺3英寸的划时代天才上赛季在防守端表现出统治力，场均贡献3.8次盖帽。文班亚马已准备好再次掌控禁区，我们预测他本赛季场均将送出4.0次盖帽。

### 犹他爵士

胜场数超过19.5场 (-110)

劳里·马尔卡宁 (Lauri Markkanen) 和沃克·凯斯勒 (Walker Kessler) 在健康时组成了一对充满潜力的前场组合，马尔卡宁刚在欧洲杯上表现出色。新秀艾斯·贝利 (Ace Bailey) 和夏季联赛MVP凯尔·菲利波夫斯基 (Kyle Filipowski) 带来了得分能力和全面性，而像科迪·威廉姆斯 (Cody Williams)、基昂特·乔治 (Keyonte George) 和小沃尔特·克莱顿 (Walter Clayton Jr.) 这样的年轻后卫也有可能成长为可靠的贡献者。只要保持健康并有所成长，爵士队应该能艰难突破20胜大关，但不会超出太多。

> **点击查看原文：Fewest wins, NBA champs and everything in between: One bet to make on every team**
>
> # Fewest wins, NBA champs and everything in between: One bet to make on every team
> 
> ![Image](https://a4.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=%2Fphoto%2F2025%2F1016%2Fr1561144_1296x729_16%2D9.jpg)
> 
> The 2025-26 NBA season tips off on Tuesday, October 21 with the Oklahoma City Thunder raising their NBA championship banner against the Houston Rockets, who now feature Kevin Durant.
> 
> The New York Knicks and Cleveland Cavaliers are looking to take the crown in the Eastern Conference, as the Boston Celtics and Indiana Pacers will need others to step up to replace injured stars. Cooper Flagg looks to make a splash in his rookie year with the Dallas Stars, while teams like the Toronto Raptors and Sacramento Kings look to take another step forward.
> 
> Every team has a betting angle – from player props to team futures – and that’s why we’re here to help you find the best futures bet from each of the NBA’s 30 teams.
> 
> _André Snellings made his picks for the Eastern Conference, Eric Moody did the same for the Western Conference._ _Odds as of publication. For the most up to date odds, visit ESPN BET._
> 
> * * *
> 
> **Jump ahead**  
> **Eastern Conference:** Hawks | Nets | Celtics | Hornets | Bulls |  
> Cavaliers | Pistons | Pacers | Heat | Bucks |  
> Knicks | Magic | 76ers | Raptors | Wizards  
> **Western Conference:** Mavericks | Nuggets | Warriors | Rockets | Clippers |  
> Lakers | Grizzlies | Timberwolves | Pelicans | Thunder |  
> Suns | Trail Blazers | Kings | Spurs | Jazz
> 
> * * *
> 
> ## Eastern conference
> 
> ### Atlanta Hawks
> 
> **Trae Young 12-plus Assists Per Game (+225),** **Trae Young Assists Per Game Leader (-130)**
> 
> In last season’s preview, I noted that Young’s career trajectory suggested he would break 11 assists per game and lead the league in assists. Sure enough, he averaged 11.6 APG and led the league. Rinse and repeat. Entering his eighth NBA season, Young has increased his assists average every season of his career, from 8.1 APG as a rookie up to 11.6 APG in his recently concluded seventh season. In addition, the Hawks have surrounded him with finishers this season, including a new pick-and-roll/pop partner in Kristaps Porzingis.
> 
> ### Boston Celtics
> 
> **Jaylen Brown to average 28-plus PPG (+225)**
> 
> Brown will be Boston’s top scoring option this season with Jayson Tatum out injured. Over the past two seasons, when Brown played without Tatum his scoring average increased from 22.2 PPG to 26.8 PPG. Expect Brown to take a good chunk of Tatum’s 20.3 field goal attempts per game this season, and with the team featuring him, those looks should come from advantageous spots. Brown has averaged as many as 26.6 PPG over a season (2023-24) while playing next to Tatum, and he has a good chance to set new career marks this season. At plus money, Brown over 28 PPG is solid value.
> 
> ### Brooklyn Nets
> 
> **Fewest regular season wins in the NBA (+180)**
> 
> The Nets enter the season in a three-way near-virtual tie in the projections for the worst record in the league, according to BPI. The Nets and Utah Jazz (+165 for fewest wins) both have a BPI of -6.9, tied for the second lowest mark in the league just ahead of the Washington Wizards’ BPI of -7.4. The Nets drafted five rookies in the first round of this year’s draft and plan to feature them in their rotation, and that much youth could be a ticket more for building for the future than present-day success. At plus money, there is value in betting them for the fewest wins in the league.
> 
> ### Charlotte Hornets
> 
> **Over 26.5 wins (-120)**
> 
> The Hornets won only 19 games last season and 23 the season before, but those struggles are strongly correlated with the injury absences of their perimeter players. Last season, the Hornets went 16-31 with LaMelo Ball in the lineup, for a 28 win pace, but only 3-32 without him. Ball has struggled with injuries for three straight seasons, but this offseason the Hornets seemed to prepare for that by bringing in several quality guards. With this added depth on the perimeter, in addition to growth among their young stars like Ball and Brandon Miller, the Hornets project to more success. Per BPI, they project to 29.6 wins this season.
> 
> ### Chicago Bulls
> 
> **Josh Giddey to average 8-plus APG (+115), Giddey to win Most Improved Player (18-1)**
> 
> The Bulls traded away Zach LaVine last season, giving the reins of the franchise to Giddey and Coby White. In the last 19 games of the season, after the LaVine trade, Giddey averaged 21.2 PPG, 9.3 APG and 10.7 RPG. With the offense running through him, Giddey has a strong chance to average 8-plus APG over the course of this season. If he comes anywhere near his stats from the last quarter of last season, he will be firmly in the MIP mix as well.
> 
> ### Cleveland Cavaliers
> 
> **To be Eastern Conference No. 1 seed (+115)**
> 
> The Cavaliers exploded for 64 wins with a +9.5 point average scoring margin last season to finish as the top seed in the East, three games ahead of the Boston Celtics and 13 games ahead of the New York Knicks. The Cavaliers return all of their primary players and their coach from last season, while the Celtics will be without Jayson Tatum and the Knicks will feature a new head coach. The Cavaliers will be without Darius Garland for roughly the first month of the season, but still have plenty of talent to replicate their level from last season. According to BPI, the Cavs project to comfortably win the most games in the East, with more than a four-game cushion in projected wins of the second seed (Knicks).
> 
> ### Detroit Pistons
> 
> **Cade Cunningham to average 28-plus PPG (+185)**
> 
> Cunningham has significantly increased his scoring average in every season of his career, from 17.4 PPG as a rookie up to 26.1 PPG in his fourth season. Cunningham is still only 24 years old, and the Pistons are built for him to be the clear-cut top creator on offense. He is high usage, will have the ball in his hands on every possession, and continues to improve as both a finisher in the paint and a 3-point shooter. Cunningham averaged 28.1 PPG over his last 40 games last season, giving this bet strong value at plus money.
> 
> ### Indiana Pacers
> 
> **Andrew Nembhard (12-1) or Bennedict Mathurin (16-1) to win Most Improved Player**
> 
> With Tyrese Haliburton sidelined (Achilles) and Myles Turner traded away, plus T.J. McConnell dealing with injury, the Pacers will be depending on Nembhard and Mathurin to create the lion share of their offense from the perimeter. Both could be in line to see significant jumps in production over their previous career, with Nembhard as a strong source of points and assists and Mathurin as a potentially dominant scorer. This is a recipe for a potential MIP bid in a field that tends to be wide open every season.
> 
> ### Miami Heat
> 
> **Heat to participate in Play-In Tournament (-110)**
> 
> The Heat have been in the Play-in Tournament in three straight seasons, continuing the tradition last season despite the Jimmy Butler availability saga that ended with his in-season trade to the Warriors. The Heat enter this season, again featuring a roster strong enough to compete each night but unlikely to contend. According to BPI, the Heat project to a three-way tie for the ninth-best record in the East, more than five games behind the projected sixth seed and more than five games ahead of the projected 12th seed.
> 
> ### Milwaukee Bucks
> 
> **Giannis Antetokounmpo to average 7-plus APG (+110)**
> 
> Antetokounmpo averaged a career-best 6.5 APG last season, but in the 13 games he played without Damian Lillard he averaged 7.9 APG. With Lillard no longer on the roster, Giannis should see an uptick in his usage, perhaps to the level of the career-high 38.8 USG% from 2022-23 – the season before Lillard’s arrival. With the makeup of the Bucks, Antetokounmpo will be tasked with creating the majority of the offense for himself and his teammate. He has a strong chance to generate a career-best in assists for the third straight season.
> 
> ### New York Knicks
> 
> **To make Eastern Conference Finals (+130)**
> 
> The Knicks made the Eastern Conference Finals last season, going through the second-seeded Boston Celtics in the semi-finals before losing to the Indiana Pacers in the Finals. But both the Celtics and Pacers lost their best players to torn Achilles tendons in the playoffs, dramatically lowering their likelihood to return to those levels this season. The Knicks changed coaches in the offseason, but otherwise return their primary rotation players with the goal of getting even better this season. Per BPI, the Knicks project to the second-most wins in the Eastern Conference this season, and have the second-highest odds to reach the Conference Finals this season.
> 
> ### Orlando Magic
> 
> **Paolo Banchero to average 26-plus PPG (+110)**
> 
> Banchero increased his scoring average in each of his first three seasons, from 20.0 PPG as a rookie up to 25.9 PPG last season. The Magic brought in another volume scorer this offseason in Desmond Bane, one of the best 3-point shooters in the league. While Bane’s shots will have to come from somewhere, I think Banchero’s scoring volume actually increases because Bane’s shooting ability will stretch opposing defenses in ways the Magic haven’t been able to do in recent years. Banchero loves to operate from the mid-range and inside off the dribble, and he should have more room to get the shots he wants this season.
> 
> ### Philadelphia 76ers
> 
> **Tyrese Maxey to average 26-plus PPG (+150)**
> 
> Maxey has averaged 26.1 PPG in 122 total games over the past two seasons. He has consistently scored at that level, and at only 24 years old he still has significant upside to improve. Maxey is one of three All Stars in the 76ers starting lineup, but both Joel Embiid and Paul George have significant injury histories that have kept them out of large amounts of games for the past several seasons. Maxey will be relied upon even more heavily if his teammates are out, and he has the game to support higher usage when called upon.
> 
> ### Toronto Raptors
> 
> **To participate in Play-in Tournament (Even)**
> 
> The Raptors are an enigmatic team because they lost so many games to injury last season, but they are a team full of young veterans that have each proven themselves productive when on the court. If It all meshes, they could be one of the more talented young teams in the Eastern Conference. According to BPI, the Raptors project to a three-way tie for the ninth-best record in the Eastern Conference, more than five games behind the projected sixth seed and 5.5 games ahead of the 12th seed.
> 
> ### Washington Wizards
> 
> **Fewest regular season wins in NBA (+375)**
> 
> The Wizards are a rebuilding team that plans to feature their young prospects this season, though they also currently roster two veteran starters in CJ McCollum and Khris Middleton. This season should be more about developing their young players and establishing a professional culture than wins and losses. According to BPI, the Wizards project to the lowest score in the NBA at -7.4, with only the Brooklyn Nets (-6.9) and Utah Jazz (-6.9) joining them below -5.0. With significant plus money, there is value in betting the Wizards for the fewest wins in the league this season.
> 
> ## Western conference
> 
> ### Dallas Mavericks
> 
> **Cooper Flagg over 16.5 points per game (-110)**
> 
> Flagg is a solid bet because the No. 1 overall pick enters a high-usage role in Dallas alongside Anthony Davis while Kyrie Irving recovers from a torn ACL. His versatile scoring, size, and competitive mindset make him a primary offensive option from day one. We project Flagg to average 19.5 PPG in 33.2 MPG on 14.6 shots per game.
> 
> ### Denver Nuggets
> 
> **55-plus wins (+105)**
> 
> Denver is positioned for success thanks to roster upgrades and depth. Trading Michael Porter Jr. for sharpshooter Cameron Johnson (19.0 PPG, 47.5% FG, 39% 3PT) improves floor spacing for Nikola Jokic. Adding Bruce Brown, Tim Hardaway Jr., and Jonas Valanciunas strengthens bench scoring and brings veteran toughness. Meanwhile, young wings Christian Braun, Julian Strawther, and Jalen Pickett have all shown progression, giving the Nuggets a complete roster ready for a division-title push.
> 
> ### Golden State Warriors
> 
> **Over 46.5 regular season wins (-115)**
> 
> The Warriors return a proven core led by Stephen Curry, Draymond Green, and midseason addition Jimmy Butler III. Golden State went 28-15 following Butler’s arrival. With veterans healthy and role players like Al Horford, Seth Curry, and Brandin Podziemski adding depth, Golden State is set to exceed its win total. Built to contend, don’t overlook them to make the Western Conference Finals (+625) or NBA Finals (16-1) if everyone stays healthy.
> 
> ### Houston Rockets
> 
> **Under 53.5 wins (-120)**
> 
> The Rockets lost Fred VanVleet for the season to an ACL tear, leaving Amen Thompson, Reed Sheppard, Aaron Holiday, and Josh Okogie to shoulder the backcourt. Even with Kevin Durant (37) added, his injury history limits consistency as he’s averaged just 49 games per season over the past five years. Combined with limited bench scoring, it’s hard to see Houston matching last year’s 52 wins. Expect them more as a play-in team than a division contender.
> 
> ### 
> 
> ### LA Clippers
> 
> **To finish as the Western Conference No. 5 Seed (+500)**
> 
> The Clippers boast a star-studded roster with Kawhi Leonard, James Harden, and Ivica Zubac, supported by veterans Bradley Beal, John Collins, Chris Paul, and Brook Lopez. Their offense and defense are elite, but age and past injuries-especially Leonard’s-could affect consistency. If the core stays healthy and meshes well, the Clippers have the depth and talent to finish near the No. 5 seed in the West, with postseason availability prioritized over seeding.
> 
> ### Los Angeles Lakers
> 
> **To win the NBA championship (15-1)**
> 
> The Lakers have two generational stars in Luka Doncic and LeBron James, and they went 15-8 together last season despite Doncic joining midyear. With a full offseason to build chemistry, new additions like Deandre Ayton and Marcus Smart to bolster defense, and head coach JJ Redick entering Year 2 with more time to craft his system, this roster has the firepower and leadership to make a serious title run.
> 
> ### Memphis Grizzlies
> 
> **Over 40.5 wins (-115)**
> 
> Memphis returns its core of Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr., who combine for elite scoring and playmaking when healthy. With new additions like Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Ty Jerome bolstering depth, and promising young players like Jaylen Wells and Zach Edey taking the next step, the Grizzlies are well-positioned for success. They are poised to exceed 40.5 wins, provided Morant stays on the court.
> 
> ### Minnesota Timberwolves
> 
> **Over 49.5 wins (-115)**
> 
> The Timberwolves have averaged 52.5 wins over the past two seasons and return every key piece outside Nickeil Alexander-Walker. Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, Jaden McDaniels, Rudy Gobert and Donte DiVincenzo form a potent core, now bolstered by sharpshooter Johnny Juzang and 6-foot-11 rookie Joan Beringer. With continuity, proven growth, and added depth, 50-plus wins are well within reach.
> 
> ### New Orleans Pelicans
> 
> **Over 30.5 wins (-110)**
> 
> A healthy Zion Williamson transforms this team. Now add in Jordan Poole’s scoring, Trey Murphy III’s two-way growth, and Dejounte Murray returning from injury. With veterans like Kevon Looney and defensive anchor Herbert Jones, the Pelicans have the depth and talent to compete. If Zion stays on the court, 31-plus wins are easily within reach.
> 
> ### Oklahoma City Thunder
> 
> **NBA Championship Winner (+200)**
> 
> Oklahoma City returns virtually its entire championship roster, led by MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, All-Star Jalen Williams, and defensive anchor Chet Holmgren. Last season, they dominated with a record-setting point differential and suffocating defense. Youth, continuity, and a proven ability to turn defense into offense make OKC a powerhouse poised to become the first team in seven years to win back-to-back titles.
> 
> ### Phoenix Suns
> 
> **Over 31.5 wins (-115)**
> 
> The Suns’ roster overhaul gives Devin Booker a balanced backcourt alongside Jalen Green and Dillon Brooks, both reliable three-point threats (Brooks shot 39.7% on 6.3 attempts per game last season). Rookie Khaman Maluach and Mark Williams bolster the frontcourt, while new coach Jordan Ott brings offensive innovation. Even without Durant or Beal, this revamped Suns squad should comfortably surpass 32 wins.
> 
> ### Portland Trail Blazers
> 
> **Under 33.5 wins (+110)**
> 
> Portland’s offseason is all about potential and hype, not proven production. Damian Lillard will miss the full season with a torn Achilles, Jrue Holiday is on the decline, while young centers Yang Hansen and Donovan Clingan need time to develop. Even with flashes from Shaedon Sharpe, Scoot Henderson, and Deni Avdija, the team lacks consistency and depth, making another suboptimal season likely.
> 
> ### Sacramento Kings
> 
> **To Participate In The Western Conference Play-In Tournament (+195)**
> 
> Zach LaVine, DeMar DeRozan, and Domantas Sabonis form a veteran core capable of scoring in bunches, while Dennis Schroder adds experience at point guard. Young talent like Keegan Murray and Nique Clifford provide upside. If the roster gels under head coach Doug Christie and stays healthy, the Kings have the firepower to sneak into the Play-In.
> 
> ### San Antonio Spurs
> 
> **Victor Wembanyama to record 1-plus blocks in every regular season game (+130)**
> 
> Wemby is cleared to play this season following a deep vein thrombosis in his right shoulder that prematurely ended his second season. The 7-foot-3 generational talent dominated defensively last season, averaging 3.8 BPG. Wemby is primed to control the paint again, and we project him to average 4.0 blocks a game.
> 
> ### Utah Jazz
> 
> **Over 19.5 wins (-110)**
> 
> Lauri Markkanen and Walker Kessler, when healthy, form a promising frontcourt duo, with Markkanen coming off a strong EuroBasket. Rookie Ace Bailey and Summer League MVP Kyle Filipowski bring scoring and versatility, while young guards like Cody Williams, Keyonte George, and Walter Clayton Jr. could develop into reliable contributors. With health and growth, the Jazz should edge past 20 wins, but not by much.

By André Snellings, Eric Moody | ESPN, via [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/espn/betting/story/_/id/46616002/nba-betting-season-preview-best-bets-picks-odds-props-futures-2025)